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Population study: followed a group

In 475,581 UK adults, red and processed meat was linked to more bowel cancer

Bradbury and colleagues · International journal of epidemiology · 2020

Original title: Diet and colorectal cancer in UK Biobank: a prospective study.

Under review. A person has not yet checked this summary against the paper. It is written from the PubMed abstract. Until a person checks it, search engines are asked not to list this page.

What the study found

Points to harm

Eating 76 g/day of red and processed meat vs 21 g/day went with a 20% [95% confidence interval (CI): 4-37] higher risk of bowel cancer. 2609 cases occurred.

The study at a glance

Type of study
Population study: followed a group
Who or what was studied
475,581 people · UK adults aged 40 to 69, followed about 5.7 years
What was tested
Eating 76 g/day of red and processed meat vs 21 g/day
What it measured
The question itself: cancer, heart disease and death
Who has a stake
No disclosure in PubMed
No disclosure in PubMed; funded by Cancer Research UK and public bodies.
Journal
International journal of epidemiology, 2020
Source
PubMed record 30993317. This page is based on the abstract only.

How much this study counts

  • –Shows a link, not a cause: people chose their own habits, and other differences between them may explain the result.
  • ✓Followed people over time, so habits were recorded before the outcome happened.
  • ✓Large: 475,581 people.
  • ✓Measured the question itself: cancer, heart disease and death.
  • •The PubMed record has no conflict-of-interest statement.
  • •Summarized from the PubMed abstract only. The full paper may hold details the abstract leaves out.

✓ Strength– Limit• Note

These points come from fixed rules about the type of study, its size and length, what it measured, and who has a stake. Every study on Digestery gets the same rules.

Where this study sits

Each dot is one on-topic paper on this question. Steps near the top answer the question more directly.

↑ Stronger evidence

  1. Trials in people: cancer and heart disease

    0

    Not done yet. This is the step that would answer the question.

  2. Trials in people: other measures

    0

    None among the papers we read.

  3. Trials in people: lab tests or safety

    6

    2 benefit, 4 harm

  4. Population studies

    12

    1 benefit, 2 mixed, 1 no difference, 8 harm

    ↑ This study is the ringed dot

  5. Blood levels and genes

    0

    None among the papers we read.

↓ Weaker evidence

  • Points to benefit
  • Mixed
  • No difference
  • No direction
  • Points to harm

How it fits with the other research

The short answer to “Does red meat raise cancer and heart disease risk?”

Linked to higher risk, especially processed meat.

Confidence: low. Based on 30 on-topic papers.

Read the full answer

Of the other 11 papers on the same step: 1 benefit, 2 mixed, 1 no difference, 7 harm. This one found harm. It agrees with most of them.

Other papers on the same step

See all 30 studies on this question

How this page was made

Label

First read of the abstract
Claude Sonnet
Independent second read
Claude Haiku
Differences settled
The two reads agreed on every checked field. Claude Opus 5.5.
Headline
Claude Sonnet, from the checked study record. A script checked its numbers and wording.
Numbers
Checked against the abstract by a script
“How much this study counts”
Fixed rules, the same for every study
Source check by a person
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